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Politics
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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
18%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
Jon Ossoff
$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$4.5M vol.
<1%
$1B100%
$100M
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$97.1M vol.
59%
Delcy Rodríguez42%
Nicolás Maduro
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$706.5M vol.
51%
J.D. Vance16%
Marco Rubio
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$1.2M vol.
99%
September 2088%
September 25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$67.4M vol.
17%
Yes84%
No
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$14.8M vol.
22%
December 3113%
October 31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$29.7M vol.
60%
December 3135%
October 31
Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
$1.1M vol.
42%
180-19937%
200-219
Trump out as President by September 30?
$1.3M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$11.8M vol.
93%
Democratic Party8%
Republican Party
Israel closes its airspace by...?
$31.1M vol.
100%
September 30<1%
June 11
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
$1.9M vol.
20%
December 31, 202615%
October 31, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
$270.8K vol.
71%
40-6419%
<40
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$38.3M vol.
52%
Gadi Eizenkot30%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Next French Presidential Election
$136.3M vol.
37%
Marine Le Pen25%
Édouard Philippe
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?
$525.9K vol.
97%
December 3188%
September 25
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
$6.2M vol.
82%
No Meeting by September 3016%
USA
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$22.5M vol.
7%
Yes94%
No
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$12.8M vol.
61%
Democrats Sweep31%
R Senate, D House
Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
$440.9K vol.
28%
180-19922%
200-219
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
$832K vol.
100%
September 30100%
September 15
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$707.2M vol.
21%
JD Vance13%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
$2.4M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
