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Politics

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Fed Decision in July?

$35.9M vol.

91%

No change

25 bps increase

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$25.3M vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$645.2M vol.

Elon Musk # tweets June 26 - July 3, 2026?

$4.1M vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$668.1M vol.

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

$14.7M vol.

12%

Yes

89%

Next French Presidential Election

$107.2M vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

$6.3M vol.

Yes

93%

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$1.2B vol.

21%

Gavin Newsom

12%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Elon Musk # tweets June 30 - July 7, 2026?

$1.2M vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

$11.6M vol.

26%

Yes

75%

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

$2.7M vol.

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

$15.7M vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$3M vol.

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$2M vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$92.5M vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

$992.2K vol.

<1%

Yes

99%

Fed Decision in September?

$1.3M vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$34.3M vol.

Yes

95%

Trump out as President by July 31?

$221.1K vol.

Yes

99%

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$21.1M vol.

Yes

93%

Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?

$201.1K vol.

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

$872.4K vol.

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

$2.5M vol.