Chính trị

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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? card icon

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

$300.3M vol.

80%
December 31
72%
October 31
Fed Decision in June? card icon

Fed Decision in June?

$89.8M vol.

100%
No change
<1%
25 bps decrease
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$54.3M vol.

<1%
Yes
100%
No
Next French Presidential Election card icon

Next French Presidential Election

$98.2M vol.

27%
Jordan Bardella
22%
Édouard Philippe
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$1.1B vol.

23%
Gavin Newsom
9%
Jon Ossoff
Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$626.1M vol.

15%
JD Vance
15%
Marco Rubio
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...? card icon

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

$7.1M vol.

100%
June 30
<1%
May 15
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...? card icon

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

$32.1M vol.

79%
July 31
64%
June 30
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? card icon

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

$8.4M vol.

41%
Yes
60%
No
Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?

$2.4M vol.

28%
200-219
26%
220-239
Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?

$1M vol.

19%
180-199
19%
200-219
Makerfield by-election Winner card icon

Makerfield by-election Winner

$4.3M vol.

75%
Andy Burnham
26%
Robert Kenyon
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$656.5M vol.

33%
J.D. Vance
23%
Marco Rubio
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? card icon

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

$4.5M vol.

50%
Yes
51%
No
Elon Musk # tweets June 11 - June 13, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets June 11 - June 13, 2026?

$765.1K vol.

83%
65-89
14%
40-64
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen? card icon

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

$8.9M vol.

39%
No Meeting by June 30
23%
Switzerland
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? card icon

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$1.3M vol.

83%
Yes
18%
No
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? card icon

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$52.8M vol.

10%
December 31
6%
September 30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? card icon

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

$14.8M vol.

41%
December 31
16%
July 31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? card icon

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$36.6M vol.

18%
Yes
83%
No
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30? card icon

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

$1.5M vol.

56%
Oil Sanction Relief
47%
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? card icon

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

$26.3M vol.

17%
December 31
7%
July 31
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? card icon

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$15M vol.

37%
Benjamin Netanyahu
29%
Gadi Eizenkot
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? card icon

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

$10.8M vol.

58%
United Russia (ER)
35%
New People (NL)
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