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Fed Decision in July?
$87.4M vol.
74%
No change25%
25 bps increasePresidential Election Winner 2028
$669.4M vol.
20%
JD Vance14%
Marco RubioIran leader end of 2026?
$34.1M vol.
75%
Mojtaba Khamenei8%
No Head of StateDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
20%
Gavin Newsom15%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezElon Musk # tweets July 17 - July 24, 2026?
$2.5M vol.
59%
180-19926%
160-179Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$678.1M vol.
43%
J.D. Vance28%
Marco RubioStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$19.8M vol.
1%
Yes99%
NoTrump out as President by July 31?
$2.2M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
NoFed Decision in September?
$4.2M vol.
52%
25 bps increase42%
No changeNext French Presidential Election
$115.7M vol.
31%
Marine Le Pen27%
Édouard PhilippeWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$46.3M vol.
31%
Yes70%
NoElon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?
$947.5K vol.
21%
180-19920%
200-219Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
$639K vol.
46%
Yes57%
NoClarity Act signed into law in 2026?
$2.4M vol.
37%
Yes65%
NoWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$29M vol.
48%
Gadi Eizenkot38%
Benjamin NetanyahuStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
$1.8M vol.
13%
Yes88%
NoPutin out as President of Russia by...?
$18.2M vol.
17%
June 30, 20279%
December 31, 2026Iran leadership change by...?
$20.2M vol.
40%
June 30, 202726%
December 31Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$7.9M vol.
19%
August 159%
July 31US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$736.5K vol.
46%
August 3128%
August 15Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?
$258.3K vol.
17%
180-19916%
160-179KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
$197.6K vol.
8%
Yes93%
NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$5.6M vol.
50%
Yes51%
NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$22.9M vol.
10%
Yes91%
No