Trump

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Fed Decision in December? card icon

Fed Decision in December?

$26.6M vol.

87%
25 bps increase
11%
50+ bps increase
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? card icon

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

$52.3M vol.

64%
March 31
33%
December 31
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? card icon

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

$3.9M vol.

48%
December 31, 2027
27%
March 31, 2027
Fed Decision in January? card icon

Fed Decision in January?

$2.8M vol.

55%
25 bps increase
46%
No change
Jensen Huang divorce by...? card icon

Jensen Huang divorce by...?

$505.6K vol.

27%
March 31, 2027
14%
December 31, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? card icon

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$79.8M vol.

8%
Yes
93%
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

$10.8M vol.

71%
December 31, 2027
69%
November 30, 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? card icon

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

$2.7M vol.

95%
China
5%
No meeting by December 31
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...? card icon

Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...?

$250.5K vol.

30%
December 31
15%
November 30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$29.8M vol.

3%
Yes
97%
No
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? card icon

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

$4.3M vol.

29%
December 31
10%
November 30
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? card icon

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

$2.4M vol.

32%
Howard Lutnick
17%
Pete Hegseth
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...? card icon

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

$2M vol.

37%
December 31, 2026
15%
November 30, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? card icon

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

$2.7M vol.

19%
Yes
82%
No
Trump out as President before 2027? card icon

Trump out as President before 2027?

$14.6M vol.

3%
Yes
97%
No
US imports Russian diesel by...? card icon

US imports Russian diesel by...?

$1.5M vol.

19%
March 31
15%
January 31
Venezuela leader end of 2026? card icon

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$100.1M vol.

92%
Nicolás Maduro
7%
Delcy Rodríguez
Fed Decision in March? card icon

Fed Decision in March?

$209.7K vol.

59%
25 bps increase
38%
No change
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...? card icon

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

$718.1K vol.

4%
December 31
<1%
July 17
Next Press Secretary announced by...? card icon

Next Press Secretary announced by...?

$1.3M vol.

73%
December 31
44%
November 30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? card icon

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

$25.1M vol.

2%
Yes
99%
No
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? card icon

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$7.1M vol.

88%
4.25%
11%
≥ 4.5%
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? card icon

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

$786.9K vol.

26%
CXMT
21%
Hesai
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? card icon

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

$4.3M vol.

95%
No meeting before 2027
6%
US
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