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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$48.5M vol.
21%
Yes80%
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$1.2M vol.
54%
August 3144%
August 15
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$8.3M vol.
7%
August 152%
July 31
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$3.1M vol.
83%
October 3183%
August 31
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
$2.7M vol.
38%
Yes63%
No
Trump out as President by July 31?
$2.4M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$23.1M vol.
9%
Yes92%
No
What will Trump say during remarks in Michigan?
$64.3K vol.
88%
Oil87%
China / Chinese
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$94.3M vol.
83%
Nicolás Maduro10%
Delcy Rodríguez
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
$1.4M vol.
15%
30+6%
40+
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$7.3M vol.
49%
August 3133%
August 15
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
$3.1M vol.
27%
No Meeting by September 3025%
Switzerland
Trump out as President before 2027?
$10.2M vol.
8%
Yes93%
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
$1.3M vol.
28%
Yes73%
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
$5.7M vol.
36%
December 3119%
October 31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
$28.7M vol.
14%
December 318%
September 30
Fed Decision in October?
$349.2K vol.
60%
No change25%
25 bps increase
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$1.2M vol.
14%
August 312%
July 31
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
$920.2K vol.
23%
December 3112%
October 31
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?
$39.3K vol.
57%
140-15926%
160-179
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?
$18.4K vol.
2%
Yes99%
No
What will Trump say during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
$25.6K vol.
91%
Sister81%
Ukraine
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
$25.7K vol.
11%
Yes90%
No
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$35.6K vol.
5%
July 31<1%
June 30
