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Trump
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Fed Decision in October?
$22.4M vol.
75%
No change25%
25 bps increaseTrump renames AI by...?
$1.5M vol.
100%
September 30100%
December 31Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$12.5M vol.
100%
March 31, 2027100%
September 30, 2026Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$70.8M vol.
15%
Yes86%
NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$34.6M vol.
72%
March 3154%
December 31Fed Decision in December?
$2.3M vol.
68%
25 bps increase31%
No changeUS-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$5.4M vol.
92%
October 781%
October 15CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by...?
$146.3K vol.
100%
September 30100%
October 31U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$176.6K vol.
98%
October 3198%
September 30NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$8.1M vol.
23%
December 3111%
October 31Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$98M vol.
69%
Nicolás Maduro25%
Delcy RodríguezUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
$378.2K vol.
100%
September 30100%
December 31Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
$8.2M vol.
69%
December 31, 202765%
November 30, 2027Trump out as President before 2027?
$12.2M vol.
4%
Yes96%
NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$26.5M vol.
7%
Yes94%
NoRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
$2.1M vol.
12%
December 313%
October 31US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
$1.5M vol.
44%
December 3131%
November 30Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
$1.1M vol.
59%
Steve Witkoff58%
Abbas AraghchiUS Announces Diesel Export ban by...?
$424.7K vol.
23%
December 3110%
October 31Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
$518K vol.
55%
December 31, 202645%
November 30, 2026Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$23.3M vol.
5%
Yes95%
NoWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
$853.1K vol.
8%
December 31, 2026<1%
August 31, 2026Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
$1.6M vol.
73%
China18%
No meeting by December 31Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$13.4K vol.
94%
October 594%
October 6