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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$66.9M vol.

December 31

<1%

September 30

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$153.9K vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$78.6K vol.

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$72.3K vol.

44%

Hodge Conjecture

30%

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

$324.4K vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

$23.4K vol.

37%

26%

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

$34.7K vol.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.4M vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$495K vol.

99%

October 31

85%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$5.9M vol.

New pandemic in 2026?

$1M vol.

Yes

96%

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

$973.8K vol.

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$511.8K vol.

50%

47%

5-6

Precipitation in Seoul in September?

$22K vol.

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

$8.5K vol.

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$1.8K vol.

67%

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer

61%

Hodge Conjecture

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.8M vol.

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.4M vol.

75%

25%

Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

$7.7K vol.

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

$7.1K vol.

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

$4.4K vol.

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$203.3K vol.

12%

Yes

89%

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

$14.1K vol.

78%

<275mm

300-325mm

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$102.6K vol.

25%

Yes

78%