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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$65.3M vol.
4%
December 312%
September 30Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$5.4M vol.
55%
SpaceX45%
AnthropicHow many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?
$18K vol.
81%
118%
2Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$3.3M vol.
72%
123%
2SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
$146.7K vol.
98%
October 3193%
September 30Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
$2.2K vol.
75%
7.9 or below12%
8.2 – 8.3Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
$7.8K vol.
12%
Yes90%
NoFurther substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
$3K vol.
12%
December 31, 20268%
October 31, 2026Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.8M vol.
100%
↑3k95%
↑3.5k10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$808.3K vol.
2%
Yes99%
NoWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
$1.8K vol.
49%
December 31, 202848%
December 31, 2027How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
$3.6K vol.
44%
80-9936%
60-79New pandemic in 2026?
$1M vol.
6%
Yes95%
NoAugust 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
$2.8K vol.
42%
1.42–1.45ºC32%
1.38–1.41ºCPrecipitation in Hong Kong in August?
$6.9K vol.
68%
<425mm66%
450-475mmSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
$38.8K vol.
88%
Yes13%
NoFDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
$2.5K vol.
92%
Yes14%
NoWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$340.6K vol.
18%
Yes85%
NoHow many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$1.1M vol.
67%
026%
1How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$502.1K vol.
54%
5-647%
<5Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$139.4K vol.
16%
Yes89%
NoRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
$11.2K vol.
10%
Yes92%
NoFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
$45.2K vol.
68%
December 31, 202721%
June 30, 20272026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$1.7K vol.
99%
1st hottest2%
2nd hottest