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Science

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$74.4M vol.

December 31

<1%

October 31

Plague pandemic in 2026?

$507.8K vol.

Yes

98%

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.8M vol.

86%

16%

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

$203.7K vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

$392.7K vol.

79%

17%

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$929.7K vol.

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

$75.9K vol.

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$6.6M vol.

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$204.9K vol.

12%

Yes

92%

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

$45.2K vol.

84%

4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft

14%

Below 4,189.3 ft

Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?

$35.1K vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

$39.8K vol.

71%

November 30, 2026

67%

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.2M vol.

Yes

96%

Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

$53.2K vol.

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$8.1M vol.

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

$596.1K vol.

Yes

99%

Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?

$29.3K vol.

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

$27.8K vol.

Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?

$122.6K vol.

Yes

96%

Human moon landing in 2026?

$1.9M vol.

Yes

99%

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$351.6K vol.

Yes

96%

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

$64.8K vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

$79.4K vol.

Plague declared public health emergency by...?

$20.8K vol.

December 31

November 30

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