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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$54.5M vol.
89%
No change11%
25 bps increaseFed Decision in January?
$798.2K vol.
61%
No change38%
25 bps increaseFed Decision in December?
$4.2M vol.
79%
25 bps increase19%
No changeHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$54.6M vol.
97%
0 (0 bps)1%
1 (25 bps)Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
$895.6K vol.
81%
Yes20%
NoWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$7M vol.
69%
4.25%22%
4.0%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$1M vol.
37%
5.4%26%
5.5%Fed rate cut by...?
$3.8M vol.
80%
July 2027 Meeting49%
June 2027 MeetingHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$129.2K vol.
77%
Below 5.20%27%
Below 5.15%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$253.4K vol.
52%
5.70%31%
5.80%Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$64.4K vol.
52%
Pause-Hike-Pause21%
Pause-Hike-HikeWhat will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
79%
↑ 4.25%9%
↑ 4.5%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$139K vol.
38%
Below 4.50%23%
Below 4.45%Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$388.8K vol.
72%
Hike–Pause–Hike19%
Hike–Pause–PauseHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?
$19.9K vol.
40%
5.08%16%
5.11%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?
$16.3K vol.
89%
Below 4.89%77%
Below 4.86%What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
$26K vol.
53%
4.5%30%
4.25%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
$26.1K vol.
89%
Below 5.09%74%
Below 5.05%How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$21.3K vol.
75%
4.90%39%
5.00%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
$33.6K vol.
12%
5.32%7%
5.35%No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
$52.6K vol.
98%
No change3%
Hike 25 bpsHike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?
$3.6K vol.
2%
Yes99%
NoHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
$22.3K vol.
94%
Below 5.40%81%
Below 5.35%How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
$15.7K vol.
57%
4.86%37%
4.89%