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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? card icon

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$34.2M vol.

77%
0 (0 bps)
16%
1 (25 bps)
Largest Company end of June? card icon

Largest Company end of June?

$21.8M vol.

95%
NVIDIA
4%
Alphabet
Largest Company end of December 2026? card icon

Largest Company end of December 2026?

$3.3M vol.

67%
NVIDIA
15%
Alphabet
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month card icon

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

$25.8K vol.

39%
$2.0T-$2.5T
39%
$1.5T-$2.0T
IPOs before 2027? card icon

IPOs before 2027?

$6.5M vol.

85%
Anthropic
62%
Discord
2nd largest company end of June? card icon

2nd largest company end of June?

$475.6K vol.

64%
Alphabet
32%
Apple
OpenAI IPO by...? card icon

OpenAI IPO by...?

$2M vol.

50%
December 31, 2026
11%
September 30, 2026
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? card icon

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

$3.5M vol.

<1%
Yes
100%
No
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30? card icon

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$354.5K vol.

41%
45%+
24%
50%+
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? card icon

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$83.1K vol.

92%
Yes
10%
No
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? card icon

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$158.3K vol.

76%
Anthropic
26%
OpenAI
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30? card icon

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$1.6M vol.

7%
OpenAI
1%
xAI
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...? card icon

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

$2.4K vol.

75%
August 31
79%
July 31
Which banks will fail by June 30? card icon

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$534.4K vol.

2%
BMO
3%
US Bank
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? card icon

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$2.3M vol.

79%
SpaceX
19%
Anthropic
US recession by end of 2026? card icon

US recession by end of 2026?

$1.5M vol.

19%
Yes
82%
No
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? card icon

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

$165.1K vol.

9%
Yes
92%
No
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30? card icon

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?

$249.2K vol.

21%
85%
6%
90%
Richest person on December 31, 2026? card icon

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

$1.8M vol.

95%
Elon Musk
2%
Jensen Huang
AI bubble burst by...? card icon

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.8M vol.

22%
December 31, 2026
<1%
December 31, 2025
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? card icon

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

$9.1K vol.

89%
SpaceX
15%
OpenAI
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? card icon

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

$289.9K vol.

1%
Yes
99%
No
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? card icon

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

$17.9M vol.

90%
Cursor
85%
MGM Resorts
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? card icon

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

$280.8K vol.

49%
Yes
59%
No
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