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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in September?
$127.5M vol.
82%
25 bps increase18%
No changeFed rate hike in 2026?
$9M vol.
90%
Yes12%
NoFed rate hike by...?
$3.1M vol.
85%
October Meeting82%
September MeetingFed Decision in October?
$1.6M vol.
63%
No change36%
25 bps increaseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$52.2M vol.
93%
0 (0 bps)5%
1 (25 bps)Fed Decision in December?
$656.8K vol.
61%
25 bps increase36%
No changeHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$376.3K vol.
80%
5.0%75%
5.1%Fed rate cut by...?
$3.4M vol.
7%
December Meeting4%
October MeetingFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
$861.3K vol.
83%
Other18%
Pause–Pause–PauseHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
$33.5K vol.
29%
027%
1How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
$15.6K vol.
86%
5.39%96%
5.45%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
$16.4K vol.
81%
4.78%54%
4.83%Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$26.1K vol.
28%
Hike–Pause–Hike21%
Hike–Hike–PauseFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$755.8K vol.
91%
Other12%
Pause–Pause–PauseWhat will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
55%
↑ 4.25%16%
↑ 4.5%What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.8M vol.
45%
4.0%35%
4.25%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$9.7K vol.
96%
5.40%83%
5.45%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$4.9K vol.
94%
4.80%97%
5.10%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
$27.5K vol.
92%
4.97%87%
5.00%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$13K vol.
73%
Below 4.50%57%
Below 4.40%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
$25.5K vol.
23%
Below 4.73%21%
Below 4.76%How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
$12.2K vol.
91%
Below 5.18%65%
Below 5.21%Fed Decision in January?
$69.8K vol.
60%
No change23%
25 bps increaseFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$209.9K vol.
8%
Yes94%
No