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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$21.3M vol.
74%
No change26%
25 bps increaseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$53.7M vol.
97%
0 (0 bps)2%
1 (25 bps)Fed Decision in December?
$2.3M vol.
69%
25 bps increase31%
No changeFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$813.7K vol.
100%
Other<1%
Pause–Pause–PauseHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$798K vol.
88%
5.3%73%
5.4%Fed Decision in January?
$199.5K vol.
55%
No change36%
25 bps increaseAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
$455.2K vol.
79%
Yes23%
NoFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$193.5K vol.
54%
Hike–Pause–Hike23%
Hike–Hike–HikeWhat will be the next Fed rate change?
$27.4K vol.
100%
Hike<1%
CutHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$142.8K vol.
88%
5.65%63%
5.70%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$57.1K vol.
83%
5.10%42%
5.25%No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?
$20.5K vol.
100%
September 30100%
October 15How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$68.6K vol.
19%
Below 4.50%13%
Below 4.45%Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$5.5K vol.
36%
Pause-Hike-Hike30%
Pause-Hike-PauseFed rate cut by...?
$3.7M vol.
96%
July 2027 Meeting59%
April 2027 MeetingHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$30.8K vol.
49%
Below 5.20%41%
Below 5.15%Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$454.6K vol.
17%
December 31<1%
May 30No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
$30.6K vol.
77%
No change25%
Hike 25 bpsWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
$12.5K vol.
17%
4.75%14%
4.0%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$336.3K vol.
22%
Below 4.7%12%
Below 4.6%How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
$8.7K vol.
34%
030%
1What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.9M vol.
60%
4.25%24%
≥ 4.5%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
83%
↑ 4.25%34%
↑ 4.5%Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$33.6K vol.
23%
October 3115%
December 31