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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in July?
$49.3M vol.
78%
No change23%
25 bps increaseFed Decision in September?
$2.2M vol.
58%
No change39%
25 bps increaseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$41.6M vol.
78%
0 (0 bps)15%
1 (25 bps)Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
$450.5K vol.
76%
Pause–Pause–Pause23%
OtherFed rate hike by...?
$968.6K vol.
47%
October Meeting43%
September MeetingFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
$160.4K vol.
55%
Pause–Pause–Pause45%
OtherFed rate hike in 2026?
$3.6M vol.
54%
Yes47%
NoFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$264.7K vol.
49%
Other46%
Pause–Pause–PauseWhat will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.6M vol.
22%
↑ 4.25%17%
↓ 3.25%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$249.2K vol.
20%
4.8%10%
5.0%Fed Decision in October?
$196.7K vol.
71%
No change17%
25 bps increaseHow many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
$13.3K vol.
55%
021%
1Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$120.4K vol.
8%
Yes94%
NoWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.6M vol.
34%
3.75%31%
4.0%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$220.1K vol.
35%
3.9%31%
3.8%Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
$317.4K vol.
4%
December 31, 2026<1%
June 30, 2026Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$426.7K vol.
38%
December 31<1%
May 30Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$22.3K vol.
14%
December 312%
July 31Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$5.1K vol.
3%
Yes97%
No