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Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$10.4M vol.
6%
Yes95%
No
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
$8.7M vol.
100%
Troop Withdrawal5%
Enrichment of Uranium
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$15M vol.
71%
Switzerland27%
No Meeting by June 30
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
24%
Gavin Newsom10%
Jon Ossoff
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$633.6M vol.
20%
JD Vance16%
Gavin Newsom
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$662.2M vol.
39%
J.D. Vance24%
Marco Rubio
Colombia Presidential Election
$38.3M vol.
90%
Abelardo de la Espriella12%
Iván Cepeda Castro
Fed Decision in July?
$13.7M vol.
74%
No change25%
25 bps increase
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$18.8M vol.
38%
Gadi Eizenkot35%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Elon Musk # tweets June 16 - June 23, 2026?
$2.1M vol.
34%
180-19927%
200-219
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$6.8M vol.
47%
Yes54%
No
Elon Musk # tweets June 18 - June 20, 2026?
$554.4K vol.
94%
40-647%
65-89
Next French Presidential Election
$102.9M vol.
26%
Jordan Bardella20%
Édouard Philippe
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$61.5M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
$10.8M vol.
94%
Andy Burnham3%
No Next PM in 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
$1.4M vol.
26%
Yes75%
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
$557.3K vol.
14%
Yes88%
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
$991.6K vol.
29%
Yes72%
No
Elon Musk # tweets June 19 - June 26, 2026?
$745.6K vol.
24%
180-19922%
200-219
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
$984.2K vol.
3%
Yes98%
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$2.4M vol.
88%
Yes13%
No
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
$27.2M vol.
15%
December 313%
July 31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$38.1M vol.
14%
Yes87%
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
$4.5M vol.
47%
December 3129%
October 31
