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Fed Decision in September?
$8.9M vol.
53%
25 bps increase45%
No change
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$50.8M vol.
25%
Yes76%
No
Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?
$3.1M vol.
53%
260-27937%
240-259
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$674.2M vol.
20%
JD Vance12%
Marco Rubio
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$948.8K vol.
68%
July 31<1%
June 30
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
19%
Gavin Newsom14%
Jon Ossoff
Iran leader end of 2026?
$37.3M vol.
79%
Mojtaba Khamenei7%
No Head of State
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$3.4M vol.
29%
Yes72%
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
$4.5M vol.
8%
August 311%
August 15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$63.8M vol.
7%
December 311%
September 30
Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?
$803.9K vol.
22%
220-23920%
240-259
Next French Presidential Election
$116.8M vol.
30%
Marine Le Pen26%
Édouard Philippe
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$1.9M vol.
89%
December 3181%
October 31
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$682M vol.
43%
J.D. Vance28%
Marco Rubio
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
$1.7M vol.
96%
Abdul El-Sayed5%
Haley Stevens
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
$2.2M vol.
88%
December 31, 2026<1%
December 31
Iran leadership change by...?
$21.3M vol.
31%
June 30, 202721%
December 31
Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026?
$234.3K vol.
16%
200-21915%
220-239
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$19M vol.
16%
June 30, 20279%
December 31, 2026
Trump out as President by July 31?
$2.7M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$30.4M vol.
52%
Gadi Eizenkot35%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$1M vol.
19%
Yes82%
No
Elon Musk # tweets July 30 - August 1, 2026?
$135K vol.
46%
40-6433%
65-89
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$16.4M vol.
60%
United Russia (ER)33%
New People (NL)
