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Fed Decision in September?
$130.2M vol.
81%
25 bps increase18%
No changeRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
$703.4M vol.
50%
J.D. Vance19%
Marco Rubio$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$4.5M vol.
<1%
$1B100%
$100MNext French Presidential Election
$132.1M vol.
34%
Marine Le Pen29%
Édouard PhilippeDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
19%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
Jon OssoffWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$26.9M vol.
78%
United Russia (ER)18%
New People (NL)Next Prime Minister of Sweden
$5.5M vol.
74%
Magdalena Andersson27%
Ulf KristerssonBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$12.9M vol.
26%
December 3121%
October 31US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$27.6M vol.
65%
December 3139%
October 31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$65.6M vol.
16%
Yes85%
NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$15M vol.
18%
Yes83%
NoWhich party will win the House in 2026?
$10.8M vol.
88%
Democratic Party14%
Republican PartyStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
$2.1M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
NoElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
$666.3K vol.
29%
180-19924%
160-179US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
$2M vol.
87%
September 3084%
September 18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$11.3M vol.
20%
Yes81%
NoPutin out as President of Russia by...?
$23.6M vol.
14%
June 30, 20278%
December 31, 2026Elon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
$222.5K vol.
78%
40-6419%
65-89Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$66.9M vol.
4%
December 311%
September 30Presidential Election Winner 2028
$704.3M vol.
24%
JD Vance13%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezIsrael closes its airspace by...?
$30.2M vol.
98%
September 30<1%
June 11Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$37M vol.
53%
Gadi Eizenkot29%
Benjamin NetanyahuStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$8.4M vol.
2%
Yes98%
NoBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$11.5M vol.
50%
Democrats Sweep37%
R Senate, D House