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Trump
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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$50.8M vol.
25%
Yes76%
No
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$957.1K vol.
68%
July 31<1%
June 30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$3.4M vol.
29%
Yes72%
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$1.9M vol.
88%
December 3181%
October 31
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$3.4M vol.
27%
December 3118%
October 31
Trump out as President by July 31?
$2.7M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$7.6M vol.
39%
August 3119%
August 15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
$28.9M vol.
9%
December 315%
September 30
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
$1.6M vol.
2%
30+<1%
100+
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
$215.8K vol.
91%
Yes9%
No
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$94.7M vol.
82%
Nicolás Maduro10%
Delcy Rodríguez
What will Trump say during Cabinet Meeting?
$129.1K vol.
90%
Venezuela74%
Russia
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$8.5M vol.
7%
August 15<1%
July 31
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
$2.8M vol.
93%
No meeting before 20273%
Switzerland
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
$2.8M vol.
82%
December 3135%
July 31
Fed Decision in October?
$415.1K vol.
69%
No change23%
25 bps increase
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
$930.2K vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
$3.2M vol.
40%
No Meeting by September 3025%
Switzerland
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?
$76.6K vol.
84%
160-17911%
180-199
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
$23.2K vol.
42%
June 30, 202712%
December 31, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$23.3M vol.
9%
Yes92%
No
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$17.6M vol.
13%
December 316%
October 31
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?
$20.6K vol.
99%
Yes4%
No
What will Trump say in August?
$14K vol.
98%
Midterm97%
Affordable / Affordability
