This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.

If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.

This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.

If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


GTA 6 launch postponed again?

This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.

The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers only to the "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" video posted by Rockstar Games (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yl5ELcmugI).

10-20M

20-30M

30-40M

GTA VI Extended Look Views

# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now on week 1?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed artist is confirmed as a featured or credited artist on "Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album", scheduled for release on November 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify as "featured", the listed artist must be credited on at least one track on the album according to Rockstar Games' official tracklist or artist announcements (https://www.rockstargames.com/VI/music). If this information is unavailable from Rockstar's official sources, official album credits listed on major streaming platforms (e.g., Spotify, Apple Music) may be used instead.

If the album fails to release by November 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source of this market will be Rockstar Games' official GTA VI: The Album page (https://www.rockstargames.com/VI/music) and associated official Rockstar announcements, or official album credits listed on major streaming platforms (e.g., Spotify, Apple Music).

Don Toliver

Kodak Black

Playboi Carti

Who will be featured on GTA VI: The Album?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Metascore listed on Metacritic for "GTA VI" (https://www.metacritic.com/game/grand-theft-auto-vi/) as of seven days after release, at 10:00 AM ET, is at least the specified value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For games released on multiple platforms, Metacritic displays a default Metascore, that being the Metascore for the game on the platform for which it has the most critical reviews. For the purposes of this market, the Metascore refers to that of the default platform as of seven days after release at 10:00 AM ET.

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. PS5 or Xbox Series X/S), it will count.

If GTA VI is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

"GTA VI" Metacritic Score?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is confirmed to be included as a playable track on any in-game radio station within Grand Theft Auto VI's base game, as of its initial release on November 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A song counts as included if it can be heard by tuning into any radio station in the base game at launch. Music heard on the title screen or as background/ambient music during gameplay (i.e. not selectable via an in-game radio station) does not count. Songs added later via post-launch updates, DLC, or radio station updates will not count toward resolution.

If GTA VI fails to release by December 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source of this market will be Rockstar Games' official announcements regarding GTA VI's in-game radio stations, in-game verification after release, or reliable reporting from credible gaming outlets confirming the in-game radio station tracklists.

Pepas

Blinding Lights

Sicko Mode

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any form of online multiplayer for Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Online multiplayer” refers to any official mode in which multiple players can play Grand Theft Auto VI together online, whether as part of the base game or as a separate online title such as a new GTA Online.

For the purposes of this market, “release” refers to the online multiplayer becoming publicly available for purchase, download, or play in the US. Open betas available to the general public will count. Closed betas, early access, technical tests, other forms of private or pre-release access, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

June 30, 2027

December 31, 2026

GTA VI Online released by...?

Grand Theft Auto VI is scheduled to release on November 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jason Duval or Lucia Caminos has a canonical death within the story mode of “Grand Theft Auto VI”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A canonical death is a death that is a built-in, intended part of the game's main story, occurring during a story mission, cutscene, or one of the game's endings, rather than a death caused by the player during free-roam/open-world play outside of story missions. Deaths that occur while free-roaming (e.g., (i) the player triggering the “Wasted” screen; or (ii) being killed by police, NPCs, or environmental hazards outside of an active story mission) will not count toward resolution, regardless of whether the game displays a death or game-over screen.

A qualifying death must show the character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of the character occurs, etc.).

Deaths occurring in any ending of “Grand Theft Auto VI” will count toward resolution, including alternate endings reached through player choice, provided that ending is actually accessible in the released version of the game. If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify.

A death resulting from gameplay failure (e.g., the “Wasted” screen, failing a mission, or restarting from a checkpoint) will not count, even within a story mission, unless that specific outcome is itself the designated canonical result of a choice made within the story, as opposed to simply being returned to a retry or checkpoint after failing. A qualifying death must result from the story’s actual narrative progression or an available branching path, not from the player failing to complete a mission’s objectives.

Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution.

If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of the story mode of “Grand Theft Auto VI” will qualify.

Only events depicted in the official story mode of “Grand Theft Auto VI” will count toward resolution. Epilogue missions and scenes shown during or after the credits count if they are part of the official game, but supplementary materials such as trailers, websites, interviews, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the game itself. Any online or multiplayer mode, downloadable content, or expansions released after launch will not count. The market will resolve according to the initial release version of “Grand Theft Auto VI”, including any patches released on launch day.

If no qualifying death is found within 7 days of the official release of “Grand Theft Auto VI”, this market will resolve to “No”.

If “Grand Theft Auto VI” is not released by January 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Rockstar Games officially releases a PC version of Grand Theft Auto VI (available for purchase or download on PC, including via the Rockstar Games Launcher, Steam, or Epic Games Store). The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which the PC version is available for purchase or download.

A "PC version" refers to a full commercial release of the game for Windows PC. Beta versions, early access, technical tests, or leaked/unofficial builds will not qualify for resolution.

If the PC version is released before January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "Before January 2027".

If no PC version is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "After March 2027".

Announcements or scheduling of a PC release will not suffice; this market will resolve after the PC version has been released.

Resolution will be based on official information from Rockstar Games; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

After March 2027

March 2027

February 2027

GTA VI on PC in what month?

Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution.

This market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons. This market will resolve solely based on the price for the PlayStation 5 console. The price available on any other console will not be considered.

This market will resolve based on the first price available to consumers upon general launch of the game. The game will be considered launched when it is publicly available for download or retail purchase. Any preorder, invite-only, couponed, or closed offering price will not be considered. Any later revisions to the launch price will not be considered.

If the GTA VI launch price differs based on region of the US, this market will consider the lowest advertised price at launch.

If GTA VI is not launched for the PlayStation 5, or is not available as a standalone purchase (e.g. exclusively accessed as part of a subscription), by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/). If no price is available on the PlayStation US online store, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

$60+

$70+

Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution.

This market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons. This market will resolve solely based on the price for the PlayStation 5 console. The price available on any other console will not be considered.

This market will resolve based on the first price available to consumers upon general launch of the game. The game will be considered launched when it is publicly available for download or retail purchase. Any preorder, invite-only, couponed, or closed offering price will not be considered. Any later revisions to the launch price will not be considered.

If the GTA VI launch price differs based on region of the US, this market will consider the lowest advertised price at launch.

If GTA VI is not launched for the PlayStation 5, or is not available as a standalone purchase (e.g. exclusively accessed as part of a subscription), by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/). If no price is available on the PlayStation US online store, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

$75+

GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rockstar Games officially releases a PC version of Grand Theft Auto VI (available for purchase or download on PC, including via the Rockstar Games Launcher, Steam, or Epic Games Store) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

A "PC version" refers to a full commercial release of the game for Windows PC. Beta versions, early access, technical tests, or leaked/unofficial builds will not qualify for resolution.

This market will resolve immediately if the PC version is released by the expiry date. If no PC version is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".

December 31, 2027

March 31, 2027

Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

November 30

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

October 31

September 30

GTA VI released by...?

"Grand Theft Auto VI" is scheduled to release November 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the officially announced sales revenue for "Grand Theft Auto VI" in the first 24 hours following its release exceeds $815.7 million, the current Guinness World Records-recognized highest-grossing videogame revenue in 24 hours (set by Grand Theft Auto V in 2013). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Sales revenue" refers to any officially announced U.S. dollar figure for revenue from sales of the game during the specified period, including retail sell-through, gross revenue, or net bookings. If multiple qualifying figures are announced, the highest will be used. Announcements that state only the number of units sold (e.g., "25 million copies sold") will not qualify. If such a figure is announced in a currency other than U.S. dollars, this market will resolve according to the converted value in U.S. dollars using the applicable conversion rate at the time of announcement.

This market will only consider sales revenue figures for the first 24 hours of wide release, beginning at the game's standard worldwide launch. Early-access periods for premium or special editions will not be considered part of the first 24 hours. A figure described as the game's "first day" or "launch day" sales revenue will be treated as a first 24 hour figure, regardless of staggered release times across time zones. Figures covering any other timeframe will not be considered.

Figures stated as a lower bound (e.g., "over $1 billion" or "more than $800 million") will qualify only if the stated bound exceeds $815.7 million. If no exact figure is available, figures stated as approximations (e.g., "about" or "around") will be taken at their stated value, while figures described as "nearly," "almost," or "just under" a value will be treated as just below that value.

Revenue from pre-orders recognized as part of launch sales and from all editions of the game, including premium and special editions, will count. Revenue from in-game purchases, including GTA Online currency, will not count.

This market will only consider officially announced first 24 hour sales revenue figures from a developer or distributor of GTA VI or an authorized representative thereof. Recognition of a new record by Guinness World Records is not required. If "Grand Theft Auto VI" is not released by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if its first 24 hour sales revenue has not been announced by that time, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement from Rockstar Games or Take-Two Interactive; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if another official trailer for GTA VI is released by Rockstar Games or any of its official accounts, including but not limited to Rockstar's official website, YouTube channel, Twitter, or any other official social media platform between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

An "official trailer" is defined as a video whose own title or description, as posted by Rockstar Games or one of its official accounts, explicitly labels it as a trailer for the game. A reference to the video as a "trailer" elsewhere, such as in a social media caption separate from the video's own title/description, a post announcing the video, or third-party/press coverage, will not qualify on its own if the video's own title or description does not carry that label. Teasers, gameplay snippets, or other promotional materials will not qualify for resolution unless they meet this labelling requirement.

This market will resolve immediately if such an official trailer is released by the expiry date. If no official trailer is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".

Another GTA VI trailer released by...?

"Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album" (Rockstar Games / Atlantic Records) is expected to release November 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the debut week sales for "Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the album has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.