Tesla Robotaxi Launch

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

$850 vol.Dec 31, 2026
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? card icon

Live odds and probability for Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?. Predict outcomes on Bitget Wallet.

Outcomes

Yes

$850 Vol.
1%

No

$850 Vol.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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