Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$1.6M vol.Jun 30, 2026
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30? card icon

Live odds and probability for Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?. Predict outcomes on Bitget Wallet.

Outcomes

OpenAI

$420.9K Vol.

xAI

$566.2K Vol.

Meta

$18.3K Vol.

Z.ai

$12.6K Vol.

Mistral

$13.5K Vol.

Nvidia

$6.8K Vol.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
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