PHIVOLCS raises Mayon to Alert Level 4 by...?

PHIVOLCS raises Mayon to Alert Level 4 by...?

$1K vol.Dec 1, 2026
PHIVOLCS raises Mayon to Alert Level 4 by...? card icon

Live odds and probability for PHIVOLCS raises Mayon to Alert Level 4 by...?. Predict outcomes on Bitget Wallet.

Outcomes

November 30, 2026

$100 Vol.

November 15, 2026

$176 Vol.

November 7, 2026

$804 Vol.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (PHIVOLCS) raises Mayon Volcano to Alert Level 4 or higher at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A raise directly to Alert Level 5 qualifies. A qualifying raise counts even if PHIVOLCS later lowers the alert level. Statements that the alert level may be raised, evacuation orders, and declarations by other agencies or local governments will not be considered for resolution. Resolution turns on the time PHIVOLCS issues the bulletin or advisory raising the alert level, not the time of the underlying volcanic activity. The resolution source for this market will be official PHIVOLCS Mayon Volcano bulletins and advisories (https://wovodat.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph/bulletin/list-of-bulletin). Please note that this market is about the alert level according to PHIVOLCS, not according to any other sources.
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