任何4級颶風會在2027年之前登陸美國嗎?

任何4級颶風會在2027年之前登陸美國嗎?

$331.9K vol.12月 31, 2026
任何4級颶風會在2027年之前登陸美國嗎? card icon

任何4級颶風會在2027年之前登陸美國嗎? 的即時賠率和機率。Bitget Wallet 上的預測結果。

結果

$331.9K Vol.
6%

$331.9K Vol.

市場介紹

For the purposes of this market, a Category 4 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130-156 mph, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 4 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
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