Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

$321 vol.ต.ค. 1, 2026
Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1? card icon

โอกาสและความน่าจะเป็นแบบเรียลไทม์สำหรับ Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1? คาดการณ์ผลลัพธ์บน Bitget Wallet

ผลลัพธ์

Texas (ERCOT)

$20 Vol.

California (CAISO)

$40 Vol.

Central US (SPP)

$40 Vol.

Midwest (MISO)

$40 Vol.

Mid-Atlantic (PJM)

$40 Vol.

New York (NYISO)

$141 Vol.

เกี่ยวกับตลาดนี้

This market resolves "Yes" if the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) declares a NERC Energy Emergency Alert at Level 2 (EEA-2) or Level 3 (EEA-3) at any point from this market's creation through 11:59 PM CT on September 30, 2026. A lower EEA-1 declaration does not qualify. A declaration qualifies as long as it happened before the deadline, even if it is only documented or reported afterward. A DOE Section 202(c) emergency order is not a NERC EEA declaration and does not qualify. Because Energy Emergency Alerts are federally reportable, a qualifying declaration is also verifiable through mandatory NERC or U.S. Department of Energy records (DOE Form OE-417, published at https://www.oe.netl.doe.gov/oe417.aspx) even if no other source captures it. The declaration will be confirmed by any official ERCOT communication — its news releases (https://www.ercot.com/news/releases), market notices, or real-time grid-condition postings — or by credible national news reporting. It qualifies as long as the declaration itself happened before the deadline, even if it is only documented or reported afterward. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Predict Now